Trump's 2024 victory sparks questions about a 20 million vote gap from 2020. With Harris struggling to match Biden's numbers and Trump's support rising, especially in key demographics, the discrepancy fuels suspicions among Trump supporters that 2020 votes may have been artificially inflated.
As the 2024 presidential race unfolds, a glaring question emerges: where did the nearly 20 million voters who showed up for Joe Biden in 2020 disappear to as Vice President Kamala Harris fails to hit her predecessor's benchmarks?
This discrepancy has raised suspicions among Trump supporters who have long questioned the validity of the 2020 results, especially after major networks, like Fox News, controversially called Arizona for Biden at 5:30 PM local time on election night.
In 2020, Biden received over 81 million votes compared to Trump’s 74 million, making for an astonishing total of more than 155 million votes. But in 2024, the voter turnout tells a different story.
So far, approximately 138 million votes have been counted, and while Trump remains only a few million shy of his 2020 numbers, Harris lags significantly, fueling speculation among critics that many of Biden's 2020 voters were never real in the first place.
Tennessee’s numbers illustrate this shift dramatically. In 2020, Trump secured 1,852,475 votes (60.7%) to Biden’s 1,143,711 (37.5%). Fast forward to 2024, and Trump’s vote count has grown to 1,964,499 (64.2%), while Harris’s support has dropped to 1,055,039 (34.5%). This decline in Harris’s numbers is indicative of a broader trend seen across blue states and urban strongholds.
On the West Coast, Harris is underperforming severely: she trails Biden’s 2020 numbers by over 800,000 votes in Washington (with 64% reporting), 400,000 in Oregon (73% reporting), and a staggering 5.5 million votes in California (58% reporting).
Even if late counts narrow these gaps, the deficits are substantial. In California, where Biden captured over 11 million votes, Harris is projected to fall short by nearly 2 million, even in the best-case scenario.
The Sunbelt states are equally revealing. In states like Arizona, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia, Harris collectively trails Biden’s numbers by about 600,000 votes.
Even in places with higher reporting percentages, Harris remains behind: down nearly 1 million votes in New York (94% reporting), 450,000 in Texas (99% reporting), and roughly 650,000 in Florida (99% reporting). Across traditionally blue states like Illinois, Massachusetts, and New Jersey, Harris’s numbers continue to fall short, further highlighting the gap.
The rural and Latino voter realignment is another critical factor. Trump has made double-digit gains among rural voters and has flipped key demographics, including Latino men.
Mainstream media analysts have expressed shock at Trump's performance among these groups, which they describe as "stunning" and "unprecedented." In states like Florida and Texas, where Biden once carried Latino men, Trump now leads by margins as high as 29 points.
Trump supporters less stunned by these revelations, being impervious to narratives who characterized the once and now President elect as a racist.
All of this raises a pointed question for Trump supporters: will the 2024 election finally prove that millions of Biden voters in 2020 were manufactured to sway the results?
For those who felt something was off when Fox called Arizona early in 2020, the math discrepancies and missing voters of 2024 are a vindication—and perhaps, proof that the election hijacking theories deserve a second look. As Harris’s numbers continue to underwhelm and Trump’s coalition grows, the narrative of a realigning voter base gains traction, possibly reshaping the political landscape for years to come.
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